Game 7It's back to Autzen after a loss to the Trojans. Every loss hurts, but this one will motivate the Ducks as they enter the rest of the PAC-10 schedule. In the PAC-10 anything can happen. Oregon teams of the past have folded after a loss or two and let the season get out of hand. Not this year. The Bruins are up next.
In the Bruin's FavorThe Bruins have had awful luck with their QB's, which is becoming a bad trend in the PAC-10 the last few years. First it was Pat Cowan, injured and out for the season and then it was Ben Olsen out for two months. JC transfer Kevin Craft will be taking the reigns...most likely. But with new head coach Rick Neuheisel and offensive coordinator Norm Chow this team will be OK. Chow is one of the better OCs in the country.
UCLA have a respectable offense. No one jumps out at you, but their weaknesses aren't too overwhelming. This team will be able to put up some points and make most games a battle. The offense is the strong point.
The defense for UCLA won't be quite as strong as last year. Losing 3 starters in the secondary is never easy in the "pass happy" PAC-10. Reggie Carter is their star MLB. Everything will run through and around him. He won't make this the best D in the conference, but he won't let them be the worse either. The D-line is solid, which won't allow Oregon to run all over them as other teams.
In Oregon's FavorThis will be a test for Oregon. There is plenty of veteran leadership, but it will be important to see how the QB bounces back. (not a senior QB on the roster...or a junior) Coming back to Autzen always helps.
The key to this game will be limiting mistakes and letting the game just happen. If Costa can control the game and not try to take it over, but use the skill players around him, Oregon will win. On paper Oregon is a better team. I think this game will feel close, but the score won't entirely reflect that.
The defense will be hitting their stride. It won't be a perfect game, but the defense will be playing as one and not give up much. The "bend, don't break" D of last year will be gone. And it will be more of a "don't budge" D. This will be one of the more aggressive defenses Oregon has had and will be attacking, hitting and forcing lesser teams into mistakes.
Prediction: UO 34 - UCLA 17
Oregon will play a very balanced attack. 250 in the air 250 on the ground. The key players will play like stars. Jaison Williams, JJ, Ed Dickson and Costa. Chung will make his presence felt and Oregon will role into their bye week and begin preparation for Arizona State.
Game 8This game could be for the Rose Bowl. Or the Holiday bowl, more likely. But the point is this game is big. ASU and Oregon have been picked by many to finish 2nd in the conference. This game is for all the marbles...that don't include USC. But if another Stanford happens to USC, one of these teams may have a chance to step in and take advantage.
In Arizona State's FavorHome field advantage and Rudy Carpenter. The Ducks have done a great job putting this guy in check, but he is the best QB in the conference. Jake Locker is the most dynamic, but Carpenter is the best. The problem Carpenter has faced is a poor O-line giving up the most sacks in the conference of 55 last year. This shouldn't happen again, but there isn't a lot saying that they will be amazing. In addition to Carpenter, the top three receivers return, as well a potential RB stud Keegan Herring. (I think Keegan is a bit over-hyped, but we'll see.)
Dennis Erickson is a great coach and has notoriously had great second years with his collegiate teams. This plays into the Sun Devils favor.
The defense will be solid. Luis Vasquez and Dexter Davis are two of the best D-ends in the league. They will put pressure on the ball and force mistakes. The secondary is capable of taking advantage of these mistakes.
In Oregon's FavorHere is the big one. Mike Bellotti holds a 12-1 record following a bye week. Oregon will be ready for this game. Last year after the bye week, Wazzu was hammered by the ducks. But this isn't Wazzu. This team will be in the top 25 and maybe higher if they manage to beat Georgia.
In the last three years against ASU, Oregon QBs have played very well and Jaison Williams has had his better games. Lets keep this trend up. Expect Chris Harper to be a part of this game plan. Chip Kelly will devise packages that won't have been seen before, involving Harper. I don't think Oregon
The D will have a game plan to put pressure on Carpenter. Carpenter will make plays, because that's what he does, but the Ducks have the returning sack leader from last year, Nick Reed. Will Tukuafu isn't too bad himself. And as mentioned over and over again, the secondary won't allow Carpenter to play pitch and catch with his receivers all day.
Big players, show up on big games.
Prediction: UO 34 - ASU 30
This one will be close. Big plays, momentum swings, mistakes and capitalizing. This may be the game that you remember all year long. If it weren't for the bye week I don't know if I could pick Oregon.
Give the game ball to Patrick Chung. For anyone who doesn't know who Patrick Chung is at this point in the season will know after this game.
7-1, 2nd in the PAC-10 and sneaking into the top 10 in the country.
Coming up Game 9 (vs Cal) and Game 10 (vs Stanford)...